Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.001472 0.001637 0.001801 0.001977 0.002160 0.002343 0.002541
2025-09-21 0.001278 0.001522 0.001772 0.002045 0.002334 0.002630 0.002954
2025-09-28 0.001125 0.001432 0.001754 0.002112 0.002498 0.002897 0.003339
2025-10-05 0.000965 0.001319 0.001700 0.002132 0.002604 0.003097 0.003649
2025-10-12 0.000832 0.001225 0.001657 0.002156 0.002708 0.003291 0.003948
2025-10-19 0.000699 0.001118 0.001592 0.002149 0.002771 0.003436 0.004191
2025-10-26 0.000581 0.001019 0.001528 0.002136 0.002825 0.003566 0.004414
2025-11-02 0.000477 0.000927 0.001465 0.002120 0.002869 0.003683 0.004619
2025-11-09 0.000391 0.000849 0.001414 0.002113 0.002921 0.003805 0.004826
2025-11-16 0.000321 0.000784 0.001374 0.002114 0.002979 0.003930 0.005035
2025-11-23 0.000260 0.000726 0.001338 0.002117 0.003037 0.004054 0.005240
2025-11-30 0.000228 0.000706 0.001348 0.002174 0.003154 0.004243 0.005516
2025-12-07 0.000150 0.000614 0.001276 0.002149 0.003199 0.004376 0.005759
2025-12-14 0.000107 0.000572 0.001268 0.002203 0.003338 0.004616 0.006124
2025-12-21 0.000072 0.000534 0.001264 0.002261 0.003482 0.004864 0.006500
2025-12-28 0.000035 0.000476 0.001226 0.002275 0.003571 0.005049 0.006805
2026-01-04 0.000011 0.000425 0.001196 0.002295 0.003667 0.005240 0.007117
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000365 0.001144 0.002284 0.003724 0.005385 0.007374
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000308 0.001091 0.002269 0.003774 0.005519 0.007618
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000255 0.001039 0.002251 0.003817 0.005645 0.007850
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000212 0.000996 0.002243 0.003871 0.005781 0.008093
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000176 0.000961 0.002244 0.003934 0.005926 0.008346
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000145 0.000929 0.002247 0.003999 0.006072 0.008597